Primary results for Congressional District 1 still in question.

Arizona-electsCOCONINO/YAVAPAI – The race for the Republican nomination for Congressional District 1 is still in question. This is the only race which remains undecided in the primaries. The office of the Secretary of State reports that 2,508 ballots remain to be counted in the counties of Coconino and Yavapai.

The race between Andy Tobin and Gary Kiehne has narrowed four votes with only 366 separating the two candidates. The latest news is that the outstanding votes in Yavapai county have dropped to 619 yet to be counted down from 2,401 as of yesterday. Currently 815 votes separate the two candidates in Yavapai county so Tobin will take Yavapai event after all the remaining votes are counted.

In Coconino County 1,889 ballots remain to be counted. The spread between the two candidates in the county is 980 votes. Because the county recorder will not count ballots over the weekend, we will have to wait until Monday before we get the final results. These votes could change the course of the primary election for Congressional District 1. The name recognition that Tobin enjoys could give him the edge in the vote count, however.

It is apparent that the fat lady hasn’t sung in Congressional District 1.

Yavapai County Primary Election night reporting delay

Arizona-electsPRESCOTT – During Primary Election Night Reporting, Yavapai County, working with new election equipment, experienced technical difficulties properly exporting the results file out of its system. Yavapai County worked throughout the night and exported a results file at approximately 5:40 a.m. Once Yavapai exported the file, that data was successfully uploaded into the state election night reporting system without difficulty. It does not appear to significantly change the results of the primary.

A press release from Leslie M. Hoffman, Yavapai County Recorder, stated:

The elections results for the Primary Election of August 26, 2014 were accurately tabulated, published on the Yavapai County website, and reported to the Arizona Secretary of State. There was a delay in reporting election data to the Secretary of State due to a communication issue that slowed the export of the data to the Secretary of State. The new Unisyn Voting Solutions’ equipment installed by Yavapai County pursuant to ARS 16-442(F) performed as designed. The new equipment is certified by the U.S. Elections Assistance Commission and used in multiple jurisdictions across the country. The vote tabulations were accurate and posted on the County website beginning at 9:30PM and the election data uploaded to the Secretary of State by 6:00AM. The Elections Department is working closely with Unisyn Voting Solutions to resolve the communication issue that created the delay.

The office of the Secretary of State stated in their email:

In May 2014, Yavapai County approved this election equipment for experimental use pursuant to A.R.S. 16-442(F). Since the Secretary of State’s Office certifies an end-to-end voting system, the system as configured in Yavapai County was not certified by the State. This new election system, Unisyn OpenElect, is only used in Yavapai County.

A.R.S. 16-442 referenced provides:

The secretary of state or the governing body may provide for the experimental use of a voting system or device without a final adoption thereof, and its use at the election is as valid as if the machines had been permanently adopted.

Unisyn OpenElect voting systems is part of International Lottery & Totalizator Systems corporation which makes online wagering systems for horse racing and lottery systems. According to the company website, Berjaya Lottery Management (HK) Ltd. in Wan Chai, Hong Kong has become their major shareholder. The Unisyn OpenElect voting system was approved for use by the Election Assistance Commission in 2005.

It appears that the voting problem is not a significant factor in the CD-1 race between Andy Tobin and Gary Kiehne, despite television news reports.

What is a factor are the votes yet to be tabulated. According to a press release by the Secretary of State there are still votes yet to be tabulated in Coconino and Yavapai Counties. There are still 2,596 early and 984 provisional ballots yet to be tallied in Coconino. There are 1,894 early and 507 provisional ballots remaining in Yavapai. Only 470 votes separate Tobin from opponent Kiehne.

The current results are not official as the canvasing process is not over. Counties have five-days until the close of business Wednesday, September 3 to verify and process the remaining ballots. A state canvas to certify the election results for national, State and legislative races is scheduled for September 8.

Yavapai County election officials did not respond to a phone call for an interview, but did issue a press release through the office of the Secretary of State.

Cochise County ballot tabulation issue could revise primary election results.

Arizona-electsCOCHISE COUNTY – The office of the Secretary of State reports that Cochise County experienced technical difficulties with yesterday’s tabulation of ballots that will cause a revision of the Primary Election Night Results, possibly changing the outcomes of some races. Cochise County is covered by Legislative District #14 and Congressional District #2. Thus no Coconino County results will be affected.

Previously posted results for this county have been removed from the Secretary of State’s election reporting system. Cochise County is actively working on a resolution and new files will be uploaded when available.

Please note that all election results are unofficial until the Canvass.

The only Statewide election which might be affected is the race for Corporation Commission between Tom Forese, Doug Little and Lucy Mason on the Republican side. On the Democrat side, Sandra Kennedy and Jim Holway are about 14-points apart.

Gail Griffin is running unopposed in LD-14 for the office of State Senator. Republicans David Gowan and David Stevens appear too far ahead of Susan Syfert to effect much of a change in the race for representative of that district.

Andy Tobin the Republican nominee for Arizona CD-1

As of this morning, Andy Tobin has pulled ahead of Gary Kiehne by 532 votes with one precinct left to report. It appears that Tobin took all precincts albeit by very narrow margins.

Ann Kirkpatrick took the seat back after Paul Gosar ran to another district because she was too hard to beat. Tobin will probably have to appeal to the ever increasing number of Independent voters to make a good showing.

Primary 2014 done deal. For the most part.

Arizona-electsSTATEWIDE – Republicans have selected Doug Ducey to represent them in the governors race. John Huppenthal will no longer be the Superintendent of Public Instruction. It appears that Tom Horne has lost his race to Mark Bronovich. Tom Forese and Doug Little will probably be the the Republican candidates for Arizona Corporation Commission.

Michele Reagan will face former Attorney General Terry Goddard for the position of Secretary of State in the General Election.

In Coconino County elections voter turnout matched the predicted 25% with 25.72% of voters turning out to vote. As of 10:25 70 of 71 precints in the county reported.

Coconino County voted for Andy Tobin to represent them with 2,880 votes to 1986 votes for Gary Kiehne with 68 of 71 precincts reporting. Adam Kwasman received 1,308 of the 6,218 votes counted. Throughout the rest of the Congressional District 1, however, the numbers change drastically. As of this writing, the only race left is for Congressional District 1 where 14 votes separate Andy Tobin and Gary Kiehne. with 125 precints yet to report. This is basically the only race that has not been called.

Coconino selected Doug Ducey with Christine Jones coming in second by 2,262 to 1,555 votes respectively. Scott Smith came in fourth with Ken Bennett beating him out by 33 votes for third place. Doug Ducey, of course, has already been declared the Republican Candiadate for governor statewide.

The late Senator Chester Crandell will win the nomination for Senator for Legislative District 6. However Sylvia Allen will be the candidate for the seat. Currently she runs unopposed as there are no Democrats or official write-in candidates facing her. The only opposition she would have is if a write-in files.

There is no surprise that Brenda Barton and Bob Thorpe are the Republican nominees for State Representative for LD-6, but they will be opposed by Democrat Lanny Morrison.

In Flagstaff, Celia Barotz leads the Council race with 21.33% of the vote followed by Eva Putzova with 18.03% and Jim McCarthy in third with 15.10% of the vote. Scott Overton is followed by Charlie Odegaard 12.96% to 12.20% respectively.

Sandra J. Moriarity has won over Cliff Hamilton for the Mayor of Sedona with with 407 votes to 373 votes and both precints reporting. For council Angela Lefevre leads the race with 24.8% of the vote followed by John Thompson with 18.71%. Scott Jablow took third place with 16.60% of the vote. Rio Robson took 12.48% of the vote with the rest of the candidates receiving less than 10% each.

In Tusayan Bill Fitzgerald has taken 27.74% of the vote for council member. John Rueter has 24.52% of the vote, Craig Sanderson 20.65% and Rebecca Wirth 19.35%.

Since Proposition 402 passed in Williams, John Moore is declared re-elected for Mayor with the three councilmen; Donald Dent, Bernie Hiemenz and Lee Payne.

In the race for Justice of the Peace in Williams, incumbent Robert Krombeen won 615 votes to 360 votes for contender Jeff Brownlee. The Justice of the Peace race in Flagstaff appears to have gone to Howard Grodman with 53.89% of the vote agains Warren Sanford’s 45.79% of the vote.

In Sedona, Proposition 429 passed 499 votes to 237. Proposition 401 passed in Tusayan 36 to 24 votes. Proposition 400 in the Town of Fredonia passed 86 to 36.

The real race in Williams

jop-raceArizona-electsWILLIAMS – The race for Justice of the Peace in Williams is the real local race to watch. The outcome not only effects Williams, but Valle and Tusayan, as well. The Justice of the Peace is also under contract as magistrate for the City of Williams. This has been the only contentious race in the City of Williams.

Jeff Brownlee is vying for the office of Justice of the Peace from incumbent Robert Krombeen. The winner of this race will be on the ballot in November. The only opposition they are likely to face is if another contender, or the candidate failing in this primary, faces a write-in candidate.

Anyone may file as a write-in candidate to be on the ballot for any County Office they qualify for. Candidates must file by September 25th by 5 pm. Write-in candidates must also file financial reports and disclosures and whatever other paperwork is required by any other candidate.

Electors may ONLY vote for write-in candidates who have filed the proper paperwork and whose name appears on the write-in candidates list provided at all of the polling places. If an elector writes in the name of a fictitious or real person as a “protest” vote, that vote will not be counted.

A person desiring to run as a write-in for a state or national office in the General Election in November must file through the office of the Secretary of State.

Mayor and councilmen re-elected! (Probably)

20140227 005aArizona-electsWILLIAMS – With an error rate of approximately +/-100%, our super-scientific just-like-CNN exit polling indicates that Mayor John Moore is leading the primary for re-election to the office of Mayor. Don Dent has a strong lead for one of the council seats. Bernie Hiemenz and Lee Payne, however, are running about 50% of the vote. This is based on the number of people polled.

If Williams passes Proposition 402 for Home Rule, they also pass a measure which will declare them elected without having to have their names on the ballot for the General Election. Susan Kerley, Clerk for the City of Williams, explained that this is legal since the number of candidates equals the number of seats available on the council. Since the vote for Home Rule has never failed, the aforementioned candidates will probably be considered elected after this primary without having to face a possible write-in candidate in the General.

The good news is that we will no longer have to suffer through the negative campaign ads going around. Oh, sorry. That was the governor’s race.

The other three seats will be up for grabs in two-years.

Election day expected to be full of thunder and lightning

300px-to-polls-az2WILLIAMS – Election day in the northland is expected to be full of thunder and lightning. And that is just the weather. The weather forecast for tomorrow is 90% chance of heavy rain with thunder. Winds will be from the south at 7- to 13-mph with gusts as high as 21-mph.

This could aid the already dismal prediction by the office of the Secretary of State of a voter turnout of about 25%. The prediction is based on statistics showing that voter turnout has fallen within that range for non-presidential elections.

In Williams, voters will decide two issues with Proposition 402. The first is that John Moore, running for re-election as Mayor, and the three councilmen running be declared winners in the primary without having to run in the general election in November. They are running unopposed for the first time in recent memory.

The second item is to decide to adopt the Home Rule option which will allow Williams to use alternate expenditure limits. Under this rule the city will be able to spend $20,524,880 in 2015-2016, $20,868,492 in 2016-2017, $21,220,580 in 2017-2018, and $21,581,371 in 2018-2019 based on the current budget process through April 24, 2014. The expenditure limitations are estimates which might be raised or lowered depending on available revenue.

There will be no surprises in the LD-6 race since all candidates are running unopposed. While the late Chester Crandell is still on the ballot and will win the election, former Senator Sylvia Allen was recently chosen to replace him on the ballot in November. The only surprises might be if someone decides to file as a write-in for November.

All eyes are currently on the race to see who will represent the Republican party for governor in November. Polls show Doug Ducey and Scott Smith in the lead for the nomination in the primary. Ducey is endorsed by Sheriff Joe Arpio who also endorsed Janet Napalitano. Scott Smith is endorsed by the current governor.

The one candidate who actually seemed to have some encouraging plans for Arizona, however, is Frank Riggs. He is against Common Core in schools and amnesty by executive order. He was recently endorsed by rocker Ted Nuggent for his Second Amendment stance. He is also in favor of charter schools. He started and left an organization promoting and helping charter schools get started.

All of the candidates speak of securing the border with National Guard as the State of Texas recently did. This, however, must come out of the State budget.

The outcome for the Republican nomination for Congressional District 1 will also be interesting. Voters will decide if Gary Kiehne, Adam Kwasman or Andy Tobin will battle against Ann Kirkpatrick in November. This race is also said to be a dead heat.

The other races of interest are the two “embattled” Republican John Huppenthal and Tom Horne. Both ran into scandals earlier this year and while the Republicans clamored to have Tom Horne step down, very few went after John Huppenthal if media reports are to be believed.

Despite the pleas, Tom Horne is seeking re-election to the office of Attorney General. Mark Brnovich is seeking the nomination from Tom Horne to face Democrat Felecia Rotellini.

Diane Douglas seeks to win the nomination for Superintendent of Public Instruction from John Huppenthal. Ironically, the communist element of Arizona revealed earlier this year that Huppenthal made posts on social media and various conservative web sites promoting himself for supporting Common Core—the communists answer to education. Diane Douglas is running on a platform to stop Common Core altogether.

Independent voter registration continues to rise

Arizona Independent Party on Facebook.

Arizona Independent Party on Facebook.

STATEWIDE – As the Primary Election approaches voters with no designated party affiliation continue to outnumber voters in recognized political parties.

Since March 2014, the number of independent voters has risen by 18,201. In comparison the number of registered Democrats and Republicans fell by 16,036 and 7,447; respectively. Meanwhile, the Libertarian and Americans Elect parties grew slightly.

A Facebook page has been set up for independent voters to exchange ideas.

geo-farewell-1Arizona has four recognized political parties: Republican, Democratic, Libertarian and Americans Elect. Registrants who decline to indicate a party preference or register with parties without recognized status are classified as “Other” by election officials but are widely referred to as “independents.”

Statewide, overall voter registration decreased by 0.15%. This is attributed to the maintenance of the voter rolls by the counties.

Republicans select former Senator Sylvia Allen to replace Senator Crandell

ALLEN_SPHOENIX – The Republican party has selected former Senator Sylvia Allen as nominee to replace the late Senator Chester Crandell for LD-6. The office of the Arizona Secretary of State announced today that the Committee to Elect Sylvia Allen filed today in preparation for the upcoming election.

Senator Crandell passed away August 4 while a nominee for re-election for the Senate seat for LD-6. Since ballots were already issued with his name for the primary without opposition, he automatically wins the primary. The Republican party is required to select a replacement.

Senator Allen is a well-known conservative Republican making her the logical replacement. Sylvia Allen served in the Arizona Senate from June 2008 to January 2013.

She chaired the Border Security, Federalism and States Sovereignty Committee of the Arizona Senate and was Vice Chair on the Natural Resources and Transportation Committee. She was a member on the following committees:

  • Appropriations Committee, Subcommittee on Health and Welfare
  • Education Committee
  • Education Accountability and Reform Committee
  • Rules Committee
  • Water, Land Use and Rural Development Committee

Senator Allen has a conservative voting record. She received an A- grade for her voting record from the Goldwater Institute in 2012.

LD-6 committeemen are still required to approve the selection.